Description

This analysis provides a forecast of GRT6719 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 0.029013 0.030997 0.033071 0.035405 0.037963 0.040688 0.043816
2026-02-08 0.025102 0.027837 0.030843 0.034407 0.038542 0.043213 0.048928
2026-02-15 0.022609 0.025801 0.029447 0.033956 0.039433 0.045935 0.054336
2026-02-22 0.021065 0.024615 0.028805 0.034174 0.040961 0.049380 0.060814
2026-03-01 0.019331 0.023008 0.027458 0.033325 0.040984 0.050835 0.064786
2026-03-08 0.017863 0.021589 0.026197 0.032418 0.040770 0.051858 0.068160
2026-03-15 0.016904 0.020727 0.025549 0.032210 0.041398 0.053980 0.073182
2026-03-22 0.016385 0.020379 0.025519 0.032786 0.043088 0.057656 0.080784
2026-03-29 0.015864 0.019986 0.025386 0.033185 0.044527 0.061055 0.088301
2026-04-05 0.015294 0.019486 0.025068 0.033283 0.045506 0.063820 0.095086
2026-04-12 0.014588 0.018762 0.024393 0.032813 0.045588 0.065186 0.099682
2026-04-19 0.013888 0.018009 0.023636 0.032167 0.045338 0.065982 0.103353
2026-04-26 0.013178 0.017238 0.022850 0.031489 0.045081 0.066890 0.107609
2026-05-03 0.012459 0.016427 0.021974 0.030631 0.044490 0.067215 0.110907
2026-05-10 0.011932 0.015864 0.021429 0.030243 0.044621 0.068767 0.116724
2026-05-17 0.011605 0.015573 0.021264 0.030429 0.045698 0.072045 0.126380
2026-05-24 0.011058 0.014937 0.020552 0.029701 0.045176 0.072411 0.130151
2026-05-31 0.010537 0.014316 0.019835 0.028922 0.044507 0.072436 0.133190
2026-06-07 0.010203 0.013959 0.019501 0.028744 0.044865 0.074399 0.140735
2026-06-14 0.010053 0.013872 0.019575 0.029238 0.046444 0.078848 0.154640
2026-06-21 0.009876 0.013734 0.019562 0.029581 0.047769 0.082931 0.168452
2026-06-28 0.009651 0.013513 0.019405 0.029665 0.048614 0.086118 0.180659
2026-07-05 0.009333 0.013135 0.018981 0.029262 0.048503 0.087294 0.187891